AgWeatherNet Weekly Weather Outlook for January 30 to February 5, 2016

Quieter Weather This Weekend; Slightly Unsettled Next Week

Nic Loyd, Meteorologist, 509-786-9357

A brief hiatus in the persistent El Niño circulation pattern is expected during this outlook period, as drier and somewhat cooler weather returns for a few days. While temperatures should only drop to around normal, a temporary end to the recent 50s and low 60s is certainly on the way. This modest change will be beneficial for halting the recent snowpack loss. As we know, excess runoff now could mean low water supplies and snow drought by the end of the growing season.

Regarding the details, unsettled northwesterly air flow from Saturday through early next week is likely to cause scattered, light western and eastern showers, while central areas remain mostly dry in the Cascade precipitation shadow. Although conditions will not be entirely dry, neither are any organized or strong storms expected through at least Monday. A weather system may impact the state during the middle to latter part of next week, but the storm would likely weaken and split before arriving at the coast. Looking toward next weekend and beyond, a rather quick regression into the same warm and variable regime that has dominated our January weather seems likely as we progress into February. Hopefully Phil the Groundhog will offer a different and more optimistic verdict for our late winter conditions on Tuesday.

Temperatures
  • Cooler, but still near to above normal overall.
  • Becoming warmer later next week.

Precipitation
  • A chance of showers at times in western areas through early next week.
  • Rain possible at times in the west later next week.
  • A slight chance of rain or snow showers at times in eastern Washington.
  • Mainly dry in central Washington through at least early next week.

Wind
  • Breezy on Saturday, and then lighter early next week.
  • Possibly increasing later next week.

Frost Risk Summary
  • This Weekend: Moderate risk on Saturday morning, and moderate to high risk on Sunday morning.
  • Next Week: High risk early, and decreasing to a low / moderate risk later in the week.

8 to 14 Day Outlook - February 6, 2016 to February 12, 2016
  • Overall, near to above average temperatures and near average precipitation are expected during the 8 to 14 day time frame.

Important Points about Next Week's Weather

South Central Washington
  • Normal conditions for this time of the year would be highs in the 40s and lows in the mid 20s to low 30s.
Weekend
  • Mostly dry.
  • Highs in the 40s on Saturday, and upper 30s to 40s on Sunday.
  • Lows in the upper 20s to 30s on Saturday morning, and mid 20s to mid 30s on Sunday morning.
Next Week
  • Mostly dry. A slight chance of rain or a mix starting around mid week.
  • Highs in the upper 30s to mid 40s early, and warmer later in the week.
  • Lows in the mid 20s to low 30s early, and warmer later in the week.

North Central Washington
  • Normal conditions for this time of the year would be highs in the upper 30s to low 40s and lows in the 20s to around 30.
Weekend
  • Mostly dry.
  • Highs in the upper 30s to mid 40s on Saturday, and mid 30s to mid 40s on Sunday.
  • Lows in the upper 20s to 30s on Saturday morning, and mid 20s to mid 30s on Sunday morning.
Next Week
  • Mostly dry early. A slight chance of rain or snow starting around mid week.
  • Highs in the mid 30s to low 40s early, and warmer later in the week.
  • Lows in the 20s to low 30s early, and warmer later in the week.

Eastern Washington
  • Normal conditions for this time of the year would be highs in the upper 30s to 40s and lows in the mid 20s to low 30s.
Weekend
  • A slight chance of rain or snow showers at times.
  • Highs in the upper 30s to mid 40s on Saturday, and mid 30s to mid 40s on Sunday.
  • Lows in the upper 20s to 30s on Saturday morning, and mid 20s to mid 30s on Sunday morning.
Next Week
  • A slight chance of rain or snow showers early in the week.
  • A chance of rain or snow later in the week.
  • Highs in the mid 30s to low 40s early, and warmer later in the week.
  • Lows in the 20s to low 30s early, and warmer later in the week.

Western Washington
  • Normal conditions for this time of the year would be highs in the upper 40s to low 50s and lows in the mid 30s to low 40s.
Weekend
  • A chance of showers, especially on Saturday.
  • Highs in the mid 40s to low 50s on Saturday, and mid 40s to around 50 on Sunday.
  • Lows in the mid 30s to mid 40s on Saturday morning, and mid 30s to low 40s on Sunday morning.
Next Week
  • A chance of showers early in the week.
  • A chance of rain later in the week.
  • Highs in the 40s to mid 50s early, and warmer later in the week.
  • Lows in the 30s to mid 40s early, and warmer later in the week.
Washington State University